- current estimate of expected future cash inflows and outflows
- discounted at current discount rates
- plus risk adjustment
Fulfilment cash flows (FCF) are not the CSM.
They are the current estimate of:
expected future cash inflows and outflows,
discounted using current discount rates,curren
plus a risk adjustment.
The CSM is the unearned profit set at inception.
Relationship:
FCF = best estimate + risk adjustment
CSM sits on top to eliminate day-1 profit.
Changes in FCF from non-financial assumptions usually adjust the CSM, not release it.
CSM is released systematically over coverage, not via FCF.
Broadly yes, conceptually — but not identical.
Similarities:
Both are best estimate cash flows + risk margin/adjustment
Both are market-consistent and discounted
Key differences:
Discount rates:
SII uses risk-free + VA/MA
IFRS 17 uses entity-specific current rates
Risk component:
SII Risk Margin (cost of capital)
IFRS 17 Risk Adjustment (confidence-based)
Purpose:
SII = prudential capital
IFRS 17 = financial reporting
So: equivalent idea, different mechanics and objectives.